In this lecture, we discuss content from Chapter 2 out of Morecroft (2010), which introduces feedback systems thinking. We focus on including enough aspects of a system to form loops in causal loop diagrams and how certain combinations of loops often lead to certain predictable modes of behavior. We close with an example of how modeling coupled showers in a hotel gives us insight into other systems with interdependencies.
Archive of lectures given as part of SOS 212 (Systems, Dynamics, and Sustainability) at Arizona State University with instructor Theodore (Ted) Pavlic.
Thursday, January 30, 2020
Tuesday, January 28, 2020
Lecture B2 - Drawing Causal Loop Diagrams in Vensim (2020-01-28)
Primarily an introduction to using the Vensim PLE software tool to draw causal loop diagrams (CLD's) that are fit to be included in reports and presentations (or as the first stage of a more-involved system dynamics modeling process leading up to stock-and-flow diagrams). Also includes a few CLD construction/repairing examples within the presentation.
Labels:
podcast
Location:
Tempe, AZ, USA
Thursday, January 23, 2020
Lecture B1 - Introduction to Causal Loop Diagrams (2020-01-23)
In this lecture, we motivate the use of causal loop diagrams (CLD's) to better understand how feedback loops interact in complex systems. We introduce the CLD, how to draw them, how to find and label the loops, and the basic method of identifying patterns of loops that have commonly associated behavior over time.
Labels:
podcast
Location:
Tempe, AZ, USA
Tuesday, January 21, 2020
Lecture A3 - Morecroft (2010), Chapter 1, Appeal and Power of Strategic Modeling (2020-01-21)
This lecture covers Chapter 1 of Morecroft (2010), which focuses on the Appeal and Power of Strategic Modeling. We introduce the modeling continuum (from analog to metaphorical) and discuss how increasing realism in models can come at the cost of reducing generality. We then using the iThink software to show how simple stock-and-flow models can be simulated on a computer to reveal interesting behaviors over time.
Labels:
podcast
Location:
Tempe, AZ, USA
Thursday, January 16, 2020
Lecture A2 - Introduction to Modeling (2020-01-16)
Further discussion of what is a "model" (in general), highlighting a wide variety of models including those instantiated in the physical world (such as laboratory model systems) to those formed within the mind (mental models). We then discuss the strengths and weaknesses of quantitative models (relative to mental models), the three different uses of quantitative modeling, and the three different kinds of simulation modeling (with an emphasis on system dynamics modeling).
Labels:
podcast
Location:
Tempe, AZ, USA
Tuesday, January 14, 2020
Lecture A1 - Course Introduction (2020-01-14)
Introduces the course, its structure, and its policies. Also begins to introduce the notion of a "model" and the kinds of system dynamics models that will be covered in the course.
Labels:
podcast
Location:
Tempe, AZ, USA
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
Popular Posts
-
In this lecture, we introduce two very different concepts – randomness and chaos. These two terms are often mistakenly used as synonyms, but...
-
In this lecture, we cover topics discussed by Morecroft (2015, Chapter 6) on the dynamics of growth and diffusion and relate them to other s...
-
In this lecture, we review how to simulate a the behavior over time of simple negative feedback dynamical system (the filling of water in a ...
-
In this lecture, we review the Chapter 10 of Morecroft (2015), which revisits a discussion of the function of models and discusses methods o...
-
In this lecture, we continue to add complexity to system dynamics models in Vensim and Insight Maker by introducing two different forms of d...
-
In this lecture, we demonstrate how to draw and simulate stock-and-flow diagrams in Insight Maker (a web-based System Dynamics Modeling (SDM...
-
In this lecture, we review the fundamentals of numerical simulation (and Euler's method) for a simple clonal bacteria population system ...
-
In this lecture, we motivate the use of causal loop diagrams (CLD's) to better understand how feedback loops interact in complex system...
-
This lecture reviews all content in Units A, B, C, and D in SOS 212 as preparation for the midterm. These topics cover modeling fundamental...
-
We start this lecture with very brief tutorials of building, executing, and analyzing stock-and-flow diagrams in both Vensim PLE (from Venta...